The tercile map has a 100 km grid cell and shows the probability of the most likely category (drier than normal, normal, wetter than normal) over the selected time horizon. Precipitation data from Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) multimodel seasonal forecasts (https://climate.copernicus.eu/seasonal-forecasts) are elaborated into tercile maps over different time horizons.
The ranked probability skill score (RPSS) maps inform how the forecast models perform in comparison to the observed climatology data (CHIRPS precipitation over the historic period).
Click the info button for further information.
Monthly plots 2024-11
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2024-08
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2023-12
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2023-11
Monthly plots 2023-11
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2023-10
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2023-09
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2023-08
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2023-07
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2023-06
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2023-05
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2023-03
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2023-01
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2022-12
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2022-10
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April
1 Apr to 30 Apr
1 Apr to 31 May
1 Apr to 30 Jun
1 Apr to 31 Jul
1 Apr to 31 Aug
1 Apr to 30 Sep
May
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1 May to 31 May
1 May to 30 Jun
1 May to 31 Jul
1 May to 31 Aug
1 May to 30 Sep
June
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1 Jun to 30 Jun
1 Jun to 31 Jul
1 Jun to 31 Aug
1 Jun to 30 Sep
July
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1 Jul to 31 Jul
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1 Jul to 30 Sep
August
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1 Aug to 31 Aug
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September
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1 Sep to 30 Sep
Starting month
2022-03
Monthly plots 2022-03
Ending month
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March
April
May
June
July
August
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March
1 Mar to 31 Mar
1 Mar to 30 Apr
1 Mar to 31 May
1 Mar to 30 Jun
1 Mar to 31 Jul
1 Mar to 31 Aug
April
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1 Apr to 30 Apr
1 Apr to 31 May
1 Apr to 30 Jun
1 Apr to 31 Jul
1 Apr to 31 Aug
May
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1 May to 31 May
1 May to 30 Jun
1 May to 31 Jul
1 May to 31 Aug
June
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1 Jun to 30 Jun
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1 Jun to 31 Aug
July
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1 Jul to 31 Jul
1 Jul to 31 Aug
August
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1 Aug to 31 Aug
Starting month
2022-02
Monthly plots 2022-02
Ending month
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February
March
April
May
June
July
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February
1 Feb to 28 Feb
1 Feb to 31 Mar
1 Feb to 30 Apr
1 Feb to 31 May
1 Feb to 30 Jun
1 Feb to 31 Jul
March
.
1 Mar to 31 Mar
1 Mar to 30 Apr
1 Mar to 31 May
1 Mar to 30 Jun
1 Mar to 31 Jul
April
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1 Apr to 30 Apr
1 Apr to 31 May
1 Apr to 30 Jun
1 Apr to 31 Jul
May
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1 May to 31 May
1 May to 30 Jun
1 May to 31 Jul
June
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1 Jun to 30 Jun
1 Jun to 31 Jul
July
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1 Jul to 31 Jul
Starting month
2022-01
Monthly plots 2022-01
Ending month
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January
February
March
April
May
June
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January
1 Jan to 31 Jan
1 Jan to 28 Feb
1 Jan to 31 Mar
1 Jan to 30 Apr
1 Jan to 31 May
1 Jan to 30 Jun
February
.
1 Feb to 28 Feb
1 Feb to 31 Mar
1 Feb to 30 Apr
1 Feb to 31 May
1 Feb to 30 Jun
March
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1 Mar to 31 Mar
1 Mar to 30 Apr
1 Mar to 31 May
1 Mar to 30 Jun
April
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1 Apr to 30 Apr
1 Apr to 31 May
1 Apr to 30 Jun
May
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1 May to 31 May
1 May to 30 Jun
June
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1 Jun to 30 Jun
Starting month
2021-12
Monthly plots 2021-12
Ending month
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December
January
February
March
April
May
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December
1 Dec to 31 Dec
1 Dec to 31 Jan
1 Dec to 28 Feb
1 Dec to 31 Mar
1 Dec to 30 Apr
1 Dec to 31 May
January
.
1 Jan to 31 Jan
1 Jan to 28 Feb
1 Jan to 31 Mar
1 Jan to 30 Apr
1 Jan to 31 May
February
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.
1 Feb to 28 Feb
1 Feb to 31 Mar
1 Feb to 30 Apr
1 Feb to 31 May
March
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1 Mar to 31 Mar
1 Mar to 30 Apr
1 Mar to 31 May
April
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1 Apr to 30 Apr
1 Apr to 31 May
May
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1 May to 31 May
Starting month
2021-11
Monthly plots 2021-11
Ending month
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November
December
January
February
March
April
.
November
1 Nov to 30 Nov
1 Nov to 31 Dec
1 Nov to 31 Jan
1 Nov to 28 Feb
1 Nov to 31 Mar
1 Nov to 30 Apr
December
.
1 Dec to 31 Dec
1 Dec to 31 Jan
1 Dec to 28 Feb
1 Dec to 31 Mar
1 Dec to 30 Apr
January
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1 Jan to 31 Jan
1 Jan to 28 Feb
1 Jan to 31 Mar
1 Jan to 30 Apr
February
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1 Feb to 28 Feb
1 Feb to 31 Mar
1 Feb to 30 Apr
March
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1 Mar to 31 Mar
1 Mar to 30 Apr
April
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1 Apr to 30 Apr
Starting month
2021-10
Monthly plots 2021-10
Ending month
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October
November
December
January
February
March
.
October
1 Oct to 31 Oct
1 Oct to 30 Nov
1 Oct to 31 Dec
1 Oct to 31 Jan
1 Oct to 28 Feb
1 Oct to 31 Mar
November
.
1 Nov to 30 Nov
1 Nov to 31 Dec
1 Nov to 31 Jan
1 Nov to 28 Feb
1 Nov to 31 Mar
December
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1 Dec to 31 Dec
1 Dec to 31 Jan
1 Dec to 28 Feb
1 Dec to 31 Mar
January
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1 Jan to 31 Jan
1 Jan to 28 Feb
1 Jan to 31 Mar
February
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1 Feb to 28 Feb
1 Feb to 31 Mar
March
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1 Mar to 31 Mar
Starting month
2021-09
Monthly plots 2021-09
Ending month
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September
October
November
December
January
February
.
September
1 Sep to 30 Sep
1 Sep to 31 Oct
1 Sep to 30 Nov
1 Sep to 31 Dec
1 Sep to 31 Jan
1 Sep to 28 Feb
October
.
1 Oct to 31 Oct
1 Oct to 30 Nov
1 Oct to 31 Dec
1 Oct to 31 Jan
1 Oct to 28 Feb
November
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1 Nov to 30 Nov
1 Nov to 31 Dec
1 Nov to 31 Jan
1 Nov to 28 Feb
December
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1 Dec to 31 Dec
1 Dec to 31 Jan
1 Dec to 28 Feb
January
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1 Jan to 31 Jan
1 Jan to 28 Feb
February
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1 Feb to 28 Feb
Starting month
2021-08
Monthly plots 2021-08
Ending month
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August
September
October
November
December
January
.
August
1 Aug to 31 Aug
1 Aug to 30 Sep
1 Aug to 31 Oct
1 Aug to 30 Nov
1 Aug to 31 Dec
1 Aug to 31 Jan
September
.
1 Sep to 30 Sep
1 Sep to 31 Oct
1 Sep to 30 Nov
1 Sep to 31 Dec
1 Sep to 31 Jan
October
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1 Oct to 31 Oct
1 Oct to 30 Nov
1 Oct to 31 Dec
1 Oct to 31 Jan
November
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1 Nov to 30 Nov
1 Nov to 31 Dec
1 Nov to 31 Jan
December
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1 Dec to 31 Dec
1 Dec to 31 Jan
January
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1 Jan to 31 Jan
Starting month
2021-07
Monthly plots 2021-07
Ending month
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July
August
September
October
November
December
.
July
1 Jul to 31 Jul
1 Jul to 31 Aug
1 Jul to 30 Sep
1 Jul to 31 Oct
1 Jul to 30 Nov
1 Jul to 31 Dec
August
.
1 Aug to 31 Aug
1 Aug to 30 Sep
1 Aug to 31 Oct
1 Aug to 30 Nov
1 Aug to 31 Dec
September
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1 Sep to 30 Sep
1 Sep to 31 Oct
1 Sep to 30 Nov
1 Sep to 31 Dec
October
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1 Oct to 31 Oct
1 Oct to 30 Nov
1 Oct to 31 Dec
November
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1 Nov to 30 Nov
1 Nov to 31 Dec
December
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1 Dec to 31 Dec
Starting month
2021-06
Monthly plots 2021-06
Ending month
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June
July
August
September
October
November
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June
1 Jun to 30 Jun
1 Jun to 31 Jul
1 Jun to 31 Aug
1 Jun to 30 Sep
1 Jun to 31 Oct
1 Jun to 30 Nov
July
.
1 Jul to 31 Jul
1 Jul to 31 Aug
1 Jul to 30 Sep
1 Jul to 31 Oct
1 Jul to 30 Nov
August
.
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1 Aug to 31 Aug
1 Aug to 30 Sep
1 Aug to 31 Oct
1 Aug to 30 Nov
September
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1 Sep to 30 Sep
1 Sep to 31 Oct
1 Sep to 30 Nov
October
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1 Oct to 31 Oct
1 Oct to 30 Nov
November
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1 Nov to 30 Nov
Starting month
2021-05
Monthly plots 2021-05
Ending month
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May
June
July
August
September
October
.
May
1 May to 31 May
1 May to 30 Jun
1 May to 31 Jul
1 May to 31 Aug
1 May to 30 Sep
1 May to 31 Oct
June
.
1 Jun to 30 Jun
1 Jun to 31 Jul
1 Jun to 31 Aug
1 Jun to 30 Sep
1 Jun to 31 Oct
July
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1 Jul to 31 Jul
1 Jul to 31 Aug
1 Jul to 30 Sep
1 Jul to 31 Oct
August
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1 Aug to 31 Aug
1 Aug to 30 Sep
1 Aug to 31 Oct
September
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1 Sep to 30 Sep
1 Sep to 31 Oct
October
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1 Oct to 31 Oct
Starting month
2021-04
Monthly plots 2021-04
Ending month
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April
May
June
July
August
September
.
April
1 Apr to 30 Apr
1 Apr to 31 May
1 Apr to 30 Jun
1 Apr to 31 Jul
1 Apr to 31 Aug
1 Apr to 30 Sep
May
.
1 May to 31 May
1 May to 30 Jun
1 May to 31 Jul
1 May to 31 Aug
1 May to 30 Sep
June
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1 Jun to 30 Jun
1 Jun to 31 Jul
1 Jun to 31 Aug
1 Jun to 30 Sep
July
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1 Jul to 31 Jul
1 Jul to 31 Aug
1 Jul to 30 Sep
August
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1 Aug to 31 Aug
1 Aug to 30 Sep
September
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1 Sep to 30 Sep
Starting month
