Harvesting of the main summer season cereal crops is expected to begin in late March in southern areas and gradually progress northward until the end of June. Heavy rainfall has affected the country since early March, with the most severe impact in Gaza—already heavily affected by flooding in January 2026—as well as Inhambane, Sofala, Zambézia, Niassa, and Tete provinces (
ECHO Daily Flash of 24/03/2026,
ECHO Daily Flash of 19/03/2026,
IOM (Mozambique Floods - Flash Update #9, 22 March 2026)). The impact on the agricultural sector from flooding and cyclonic activity during the 2025/2026 season is substantial. According to the latest
INGD data, the cumulative impact of the 2025/2026 rainy and cyclone season (01/10/2025–19/03/2026) on the agricultural sector includes 449,122 ha of agricultural area affected—of which 267,218 ha were destroyed—and 428,365 livestock affected. Cumulative rainfall from late January to late February was approximately 60%–75% below-average across central and southern regions. Consequently, a significant decline in biomass is being observed in the southern provinces of Maputo and Gaza, and the central province of Sofala; conversely, in Inhambane and Manica, crop conditions are affected to a lesser extent. According to
OCHA, humanitarian operations in Cabo Delgado and Nampula remained highly fragile in February, as aid delivery was severely constrained by ongoing violence, IED risks, cholera-related misinformation, and logistical challenges caused by heavy rains. As of March 20, pastoral biomass conditions remain at average to slightly below-average levels.