Over the past month, rainfall across Guinea was mostly average to slightly above-average, except for coastal areas and the Kindia region, which face notable rainfall deficits. Despite the average rainfall amounts elsewhere, poor crop conditions affect the eastern region of Kankan and the western region of Kindia, where negative greenness anomalies impact 50% to 60% of the active crop area. This is critical because these two provinces produce nearly 35% of Guinea's total national cereal output (
Share of national cereal production by subnational units). The Nzérékoré region is less affected, with negative greenness anomalies on about 30% of its crop area. While mid-June rangeland conditions remain close to average nationwide, 25% to 35% of pasture lands in Kindia and Boké show signs of stress. The
Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the July–August 2026 predicts drier-than-average conditions across most of the country, except for a slightly wetter-than-average outlook in the southeast.