Afghanistan

In Afghanistan, the season started with poor rainfall in November, followed by good rainfall in December in the west and north of the country and in January in the east of the country. In February, dry conditions prevailed in the east northeast (around Kapisa, Parwan, Laghman) while March saw close to normal rainfall. Overall, after November 2025, rainfall conditions have been favourable in most areas, a situation that is expected to persist through May (which corresponds to the cessation of rainfall in most regions), according to the Copernicus C3S seasonal forecast multimodel, and the result is a close to average winter cereals biomass in most areas, thanks also to above average temperatures (of up to 7C) since February.
Afghanistan continues to face high levels of hunger with about 17 million people estimated in acute food insecurity (IPC phase 3 or above), a deterioration with respect to previous year estimates, as a result of a contracting economy, recurrent drought, declining humanitarian aid and decreasing remittances due to the return of 2.5M Afghans from Iran and Pakistan in 2025, according to the latest IPC report from 16 December 2025.