United Republic of Tanzania

In unimodal areas, Msimu crops, including sorghum, rice and maize are currently in growth stage, while in bimodal areas, Masika crops of sorghum, millet and maize have recently been established. Precipitation has been largely below-average in the north and in the center (Dodoma -34%, Mara -39%, Mwanza -44%, Tabora -36%) and above average in the south (Lindi +8%, Njombe +10%, Ruvuma +5%). The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) multi-model seasonal forecasts, points to high probability of below-average cumulative precipitation in the next months. According to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, maize production in Tanzania for marketing year 2025/26 is expected to decline by around three percent to 6.8 million metric tons, driven by below-average short rains season rainfall, untimely distribution of subsidized inputs, and Fall Armyworm infestations. The anticipated reduction in consumption is projected to result in food shortages and heightened food insecurity, particularly for low-income households.