Syrian Arab Republic

In Syria, conditions of winter cereals are mixed: in the northwest (Idleb, Hama and to a lesser extent in Aleppo), crop biomass improved following the good rainfall received since January, but remains below average, particularly in Aleppo, most likely because of a reduction in the sown area possibly due to the dry conditions at the start of season (notably in November). In the centre-north and northeast, which are other important cereals producing regions, moisture conditions have been more favourable at the start of season and crop biomass is close to average in Raqqa and Dayr Az Zor and slightly below average in Hassakeh, while the south (Dara, As Suweida) shows above average crop biomass. Overall, at country level, prospects are below average due to the deficit in the northwest.
According to the Copernicus C3S seasonal multimodel forecast, close to normal rainfall is expected for the rest of the season. Food insecurity remains high with more than 14 million people in need of food assistance (for a total population of 21 million – see ECHO Flash or the country overview of the Food Security Cluster) as a result of the conflict and a protracted economic crisis according to WFP, as well as a very poor 2025 wheat harvest (estimated at less than 40% of the 5 year average by FAO GIEWS).